A reduction in electricity consumption by just 3% at the national level helped authorities in the Republic of Moldova avoid a major energy crisis, according to a report by the National Crisis Management Center, bani.md reports.
At the time, the country faced a deficit of up to 400 MW and a real risk of power outages. The report highlights several structural vulnerabilities in the energy system, including a strong dependence on external infrastructure and ongoing risks that could trigger new crises without warning.
One of the most severe scenarios analyzed involves a deficit of 350–400 MW in the event of new failures or attacks on energy infrastructure in Ukraine. Such a shortage would represent a significant portion of national consumption and could lead to controlled disconnections of consumers.
The report also points to Moldova’s heavy reliance on a single import route—the Vulcănești–Isaccea power line—which cannot fully guarantee system stability. Any disruption along this line could sharply reduce import capacity and increase the risk of a blackout.
In addition, domestic electricity production fluctuates significantly by season, dropping from around 200 MW in winter to approximately 60 MW in spring and summer, further increasing reliance on imports.
During crisis situations, Moldova may also be forced to purchase electricity at so-called “penalty” prices, significantly above market levels—costs that could eventually translate into higher tariffs for consumers.